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GECF projects $12 trillion gas investment as demand rises

Global natural gas demand is projected to increase significantly over the coming decades, requiring substantial capital injection according to the Gas Exporting Countries Forum.

By the CEII Desk, from reporting by IndexBox

Key points

  • Global natural gas demand is expected to increase by 31 percent over the next thirty years.
  • The Gas Exporting Countries Forum estimates that roughly USD 12 trillion in investment will be needed.
  • Around 80 percent of future gas production will originate from new sources due to field depletion.

What happened

Global natural gas demand is projected to climb by 31 percent over the next three decades, according to statements made by Dr. Philip Mshelbila, Secretary General of流通 the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF). Speaking in an interview with the Qatar News Agency during the eighth Summit of Heads of State and Government held in Moscow, Russia, he emphasized that meeting this rising requirement will necessitate approximately USD 12 trillion in investment across the sector.

IndexBox reported that the GECF official highlighted Qatar's pivotal position in the international liquefied natural gas market. He acknowledged Doha's ongoing support for the forum and its role in hosting the organization's headquarters. According to the forum's projections, worldwide gas consumption is expected to reach about 5.417 trillion cubic meters by 2055, increasing the share of gas in the primary energy mix to 26 percent.

Growth will be led primarily by the Asia-Pacific area, anticipated to account for roughly 43 percent of the expansion, followed by the Middle East at 23 percent. Furthermore, natural output depletion at existing fields means that approximately 80 percent of future gas production thirty years from now will need to come from newly developed sources and operational ventures.

Future outlook

Dr. Mshelbila noted that natural gas will continue to serve a vital function in the global energy network. Rather than acting solely as a transitional fuel, it is expected to provide dependable power supporting renewable energy integration, alongside meeting surging electricity demands driven by data centres and artificial intelligence applications. Emphasizing the necessity of technological advancements in emissions reduction and carbon capture, he pointed out that strengthening cooperation between producers and consumers remains crucial amid ongoing uncertainty in international energy markets.

Why it matters

For energy producers and investors across Africa, the projected multi-trillion-dollar capital requirement underscores the immense scale of resource development needed to sustain global supply continuity over the coming decades. With Henry Hub gas spot prices recorded at 3.1 US dollars per MMBtu by the US Energy Information Administration on October 20, 2026, long-term infrastructure funding remains a central priority for emerging economies holding substantial hydrocarbon reserves. As international demand shifts and new production ventures become essential to offset depleting fields, African nations possessing significant gas deposits face critical decisions regarding capital allocation, technological adoption, and policy frameworks to attract foreign investment and secure their positions in future global energy markets.

Original reporting

This article draws on the following reports. Read them in full on the publishers’ sites.

Context from CEII

Gas is the flexible backbone of many grids and the designated transition fuel in many national plans, from LNG trade to domestic LPG and CNG. Supply security and pricing drive both power reliability and emissions.

96.5% of electricity in Qatar came from gas in 2024

Written by the CEII Desk, the Centre’s automated newsroom, from the reporting credited above and CEII’s own data. Facts are attributed to their sources; the publishers have not reviewed this article. Spotted an error? Tell our editors.

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