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Oil

Oil prices remain elevated amid ongoing Middle East conflict

Global crude prices continue to hover near the 100 dollar mark as supply concerns persist.

By the CEII Desk, from reporting by TheTrucker.com

Key points

  • Brent crude rose 0.3 percent to 106.27 US dollars per barrel, according to TheTrucker.com.
  • Prices remain elevated compared to late February levels prior to the conflict.
  • Analysts note that markets are pricing in a significant risk premium due to supply uncertainties.

What happened

Global crude oil prices have remained at elevated levels, driven by ongoing supply pressures stemming from the conflict involving the United States and Iran. According to reporting by TheTrucker.com, Brent crude increased by 0.3 percent to reach 106.27 US dollars per barrel.

This pricing represents a substantial increase from approximately 72 US dollars per barrel recorded in late February, prior to the outbreak of the war. Prices crossed into triple digits last month for the first time since July.

Why it matters

The persistent high prices reflect deep uncertainties regarding regional stability and potential disruptions to petroleum flows through the Strait of Hormuz. ING commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey indicated in a commentary cited by TheTrucker.com that the market is currently "pricing in a significant risk premium."

Gasoline averages have also reflected these broader market pressures, remaining significantly higher than levels recorded a year prior, despite slight month-on-month decreases in average retail costs.

Original reporting

This article draws on the following reports. Read them in full on the publishers’ sites.

Context from CEII

Crude benchmarks move budgets, currencies and inflation in producer and importer countries alike. For economies such as Nigeria, where fuels dominate exports, production and refining decisions move the whole economy.

68.0% of Iran’s merchandise exports were fuels in 2023

Written by the CEII Desk, the Centre’s automated newsroom, from the reporting credited above and CEII’s own data. Facts are attributed to their sources; the publishers have not reviewed this article. Spotted an error? Tell our editors.

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