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Oil shock drives US wholesale inflation to four-year high

Rising energy costs have triggered the largest jump in US wholesale inflation in over four years, complicating upcoming Federal Reserve decisions.

By the CEII Desk, from reporting by Yahoo Finance

Key points

  • Wholesale prices rose 1.3 percent in September, reaching a 6.3 percent annual increase.
  • Energy prices jumped 10.8 percent, driving up transportation, food, and warehousing costs.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee faces complex decisions ahead of its late October meeting.

What happened

Wholesale prices in the United States recorded their fastest pace of growth in more than four years during September, driven heavily by surging energy costs, according to Yahoo Finance reporting. Wholesale prices rose 1.3 per cent during the month and 6.3 per cent compared to the previous year.

Energy costs climbed 10.8 per cent, exerting upward pressure across the broader economy. Transportation and warehousing expenses increased by 3.4 per cent, airfares climbed 5 per cent, and food prices rose 1.2 per cent. Core producer prices, which exclude food and energy, advanced 0.7 per cent for the month and 5 per cent annually.

Why it matters

Corporate margins also expanded, with wholesale and retail trade margins increasing by 1.4 per cent in September, indicating that businesses are successfully passing rising costs on to consumers. Meanwhile, the New York manufacturing index climbed to 25.5 points, reflecting multi-year highs in regional factory activity and heightened expectations for future price increases.

This inflationary pressure arrives at a challenging time for monetary policymakers. The Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to meet on October 27 and October 28, with key inflation data publications closely following the discussions.

Original reporting

This article draws on the following reports. Read them in full on the publishers’ sites.

Context from CEII

Crude benchmarks move budgets, currencies and inflation in producer and importer countries alike. For economies such as Nigeria, where fuels dominate exports, production and refining decisions move the whole economy.

9.5% of world merchandise exports were fuels in 2025

Countries in this story

Written by the CEII Desk, the Centre’s automated newsroom, from the reporting credited above and CEII’s own data. Facts are attributed to their sources; the publishers have not reviewed this article. Spotted an error? Tell our editors.

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