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Oil

Oil prices head for weekly gains amid Strait of Hormuz attacks

Crude markets are pricing in significant risk premiums following attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and a US inventory draw.

By the CEII Desk, from reporting by OilPrice.com

Key points

  • Brent crude traded at $105.48 per barrel and WTI at $97.40 per barrel.
  • Daily oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz fell sharply to 11.62 million barrels.
  • US crude inventories dropped by 8.56 million barrels for the week ending October 9.

What happened

Crude oil prices were on track for weekly increases, supported by security incidents in the Persian Gulf and a significant drop in American petroleum stockpiles, OilPrice.com reported. According to US Energy Information Administration data, Brent spot prices stood at $126.55 per barrel on October 14, while WTI reached $101.91 per barrel.

Attacks by Iran on commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz heavily impacted regional throughput. Reuters reported that data from Kpler showed daily flows dropping from a normal baseline of 17.15 million barrels down to 11.62 million barrels during the week leading up to October 13. Concurrently, US inventories declined by 8.56 million barrels over the week ending October 9.

Why it matters

Market analysts attribute the rising price environment to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. ING commodity experts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey noted that traders are incorporating a substantial risk premium into current valuations due to threats against maritime trade routes.

Efforts to mitigate supply tightness have produced limited impact so far. The International Energy Agency announced a planned release of 100 million barrels from emergency reserves, representing remaining volumes from an earlier March 2026 agreement. Proposals to alleviate tanker shortages by relaxing restrictions on certain vessels face practical hurdles regarding vessel availability and European Union insurance regulations.

Original reporting

This article draws on the following reports. Read them in full on the publishers’ sites.

Context from CEII

Crude benchmarks move budgets, currencies and inflation in producer and importer countries alike. For economies such as Nigeria, where fuels dominate exports, production and refining decisions move the whole economy.

17.3% of United States’s merchandise exports were fuels in 2025

Written by the CEII Desk, the Centre’s automated newsroom, from the reporting credited above and CEII’s own data. Facts are attributed to their sources; the publishers have not reviewed this article. Spotted an error? Tell our editors.

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