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Oil

South Africa defends fuel security amid global supply strains

South Africa maintains that its fuel supplies remain secure despite shrinking global oil inventories and rising domestic pump prices.

By the CEII Desk, from reporting by IOL

Key points

  • South Africa holds 6.9 million barrels in strategic fuel stock, offering about 30 days of cover.
  • Mineral and Petroleum Resources Minister Gwede Mantashe says there are no immediate plans for government price interventions.
  • The country's draft Strategic Petroleum Stocks Policy proposes expanding reserves to cover 60 days of net imports.

What happened

South Africa's strategic fuel reserves have drawn renewed attention as motorists face record pump prices driven by tightening global oil supplies, IOL reported. According to the International Energy Agency, global observed oil stocks fell by 95 million barrels in August, depleting buffers amid ongoing disruptions in the Middle East and reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

Mineral and Petroleum Resources Minister Gwede Mantashe told Parliament that South Africa currently maintains 6.9 million barrels of strategic fuel stock, sufficient for approximately 30 days. He stated that supply remains secure and that the country has diversified its import sources to reduce reliance on the Middle East.

However, Mantashe acknowledged vulnerabilities stemming from lower domestic refining capacity. Sasol's refining operations cover 40% of national requirements, leaving the country dependent on imports for the remaining 60%. The South African Reserve Bank estimates that reduced refining capacity has increased import costs and lowered petroleum-related manufacturing output by roughly 20% since 2019.

What comes next

To address these vulnerabilities, the Department of Mineral and Petroleum Resources has drafted a Strategic Petroleum Stocks Policy. The proposed framework aims to establish a mixed stockholding model managed by the South African National Petroleum Company, targeting reserves equivalent to 60 days of net imports.

Despite consumer pressure from expected fuel price hikes exceeding R3 a litre for certain grades, Mantashe confirmed that the government has no immediate plans to intervene, noting that fuel prices will continue to be administered transparently through existing legislation.

Original reporting

This article draws on the following reports. Read them in full on the publishers’ sites.

Context from CEII

Crude benchmarks move budgets, currencies and inflation in producer and importer countries alike. For economies such as Nigeria, where fuels dominate exports, production and refining decisions move the whole economy.

8.2% of South Africa’s merchandise exports were fuels in 2025

Countries in this story

Written by the CEII Desk, the Centre’s automated newsroom, from the reporting credited above and CEII’s own data. Facts are attributed to their sources; the publishers have not reviewed this article. Spotted an error? Tell our editors.

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